Brampton housing market to favour sellers in 2021, prices expected to rise 5%
The Brampton housing market is expected to see continued seller’s market conditions in 2021, impacted by lack of housing supply that’s prompting rising average prices. Low inventory has been a common trend across many Ontario housing markets, with price growth reported in most markets. Indeed, Brampton real estate saw average prices rise to $835,088 in 2020 (Jan. 1-Oct. 31) compared to $727,035 in 2019 (Jan. 1-Dec. 31). It is anticipated that the market will see further growth during the first few months of the year. Thus, the RE/MAX outlook for Brampton real estate is an increase of 5% in average priceto $876,830 across all property types.
Brampton is currently a seller’s market and driven by move-up buyers. Two-story detached homes have seen the most activity in 2020, based on buyer sentiments shifting toward more space and bigger properties. This had been trending across many Canadian housing markets as well as regions abroad, as homebuyers seek more square footage and green space outside of urban areas in the wake of COVID-19. Factors impacting this broader trend include the rise in remote work, the desire for more space and less density, as well as lower housing prices.
The typical first-time homebuyers in Brampton are young couples looking for condominiums in the price range of $400,000 to $500,000. In 2021, this average starter price is expected to shift to $425,000-$525,000.
Families make up the majority of move-up buyers in the Brampton housing market, with many currently experiencing challenges moving up in the market due to lack of housing supply.
Brampton’s luxury market is also driven by move-up buyers, with prices for luxury properties starting in the $2 million ballpark. This region has seen an increase in demand for luxury homes since the start of COVID-19, a trend that is expected to continue in 2021.
Brampton’s top three neighbourhoods in the region based on 2020 sales are SandringhamWellington, North West and Fletcher’s Meadow. These areas are expected to remain in high demand in 2021.
Canadian Housing Market in 2021
Canadians are on the move. RE/MAX isn’t calling this an “exodus,” but the re-location trend across the Canadian housing market is real, and it’s just one focus of the RE/MAX 2021 Housing Market Outlook Report. RE/MAX Canada anticipates healthy housing price growth at the national level, with move-up and move-over buyers continuing to drive activity in many regions across the Canadian housing market. An ongoing and widespread housing supply shortage is likely to continue, presenting challenges for homebuyers and putting upward pressure on prices.
Due to these factors, the 2021 RE/MAX 2021 outlook for average residential prices is an estimate of +4% to +6% nation-wide. Here’s the regional break-down:
35% of RE/MAX brokers indicate that “move-over” buyers from other cities and provinces will continue to spark market activity in 2021
45% of RE/MAX brokers indicate that move-up buyers will likely be a primary driver of the housing market demand in 2021
Half of Canadians (53%) are confident that Canada’s housing markets will remain steady in 2021
52% of Canadians believe real estate will remain one of the best investment options in 2021
“We’ve seen a lot of anecdotal evidence since the summer that households are considering significant lifestyle changes by relocating to less-dense cities and neighbourhoods,” says Christopher Alexander, Executive Vice President and Regional Director, RE/MAX of Ontario-Atlantic Canada. “This has sparked unprecedented sales this year in suburban and rural parts of Canada and we expect this trend to continue in 2021.”
The Brampton housing market experienced a slowdown in mid-March following the initial impact of COVID-19. However the decline was short lived, lasting for approximately 30 days before home sales began to pick up again, according to the RE/MAX Fall Market Outlook Report. Since mid-April, Brampton real estate activity has continued on the upward trajectory, as the delayed busy spring market continued through the summer months. This activity is expected to continue on into September, with Brampton currently experiencing a strong seller’s market, and demand significantly outpacing supply in the region.
Average Brampton home prices are continuing to increase, with regional real estate experts remaining cautiously optimistic that this will either continue or remain stable. Based on these factors, it is expected that the Brampton housing market will see average housing prices increase 5% through the remainder of the year.
Ontario Real Estate Trends
What’s been happening across other Ontario real estate markets? With the province being one of the hardest-hit regions in Canada, markets such as Niagara, Mississauga and Kitchener-Waterloo experienced significant drops in activity. However, come June, they bounced back aggressively as economies began to reopen. With all of Ontario now in phase three of re-opening and consumers more comfortable engaging in the market, market activity in Ontario is expected to remain steady in the fall, with modest price increases of up to 6% in some regions.
Leading indicators from RE/MAX brokers and agents across Canada’s housing market point to a strong market for the remainder of 2020. According to the RE/MAX Fall Market Outlook Report, RE/MAX brokers suggest that the average residential sale price in Canada could increase by 4.6% during the remainder of the year. This is compared to the 3.7% increase that was predicted in late 2019.
The pandemic has prompted many Canadians to reassess their living situations. According to a survey conducted by Leger on behalf of RE/MAX Canada, 32% of Canadians no longer want to live in large urban centres, and instead would opt for rural or suburban communities. This trend is stronger among Canadians under the age of 55 than those in the 55+ age group. Not only are Canadians more motivated to leave cities, but changes in work and life dynamics have also shifted their needs and wants for their homes. According to the survey, 44% of Canadians would like a home with more space for personal amenities, such as a pool, balcony or a large yard.
Canadians equally split on their confidence in the housing market
Canadians are almost equally split in their confidence in Canada’s real estate market, with 39% as confident as they were prior to the pandemic, and 37% slightly less confident. When it comes to the prospect of a second wave of COVID-19, 56% of Canadians who are feeling confident in Canada’s real estate market are still likely to buy or sell. “The classically hot spring market that was pushed to the summer months due to the COVID-19 pandemic created a surprisingly strong market across Canada and across all market segments,” says Christopher Alexander, Executive Vice President and Regional Director, RE/MAX of Ontario-Atlantic Canada. “Looking ahead, government financial aid programs may be coming to an end in September, which could potentially impact future activity; however, the pent-up demand and low inventory dynamic may keep prices steady and bolster activity for the remainder of 2020. Overall, we are very confident in the long-term durability of the market.”Additional highlights from the 2020 RE/MAX Fall Market Outlook Report Survey:
48% of Canadians would like to live closer to green spaces
48% of Canadians say it’s more important than ever to live in a community close to hospitals and clinics
33% of Canadians would like more square footage in their home and have realized they need more space
44% of Canadians want a home with more outdoor space and personal amenities (i.e. balcony, pool etc.)
About the 2020 RE/MAX Fall Market Outlook Report The 2020 RE/MAX Fall Market Outlook Report includes data and insights supplied by RE/MAX brokerages. RE/MAX brokers and agents are surveyed on market activity and local developments.
Seller’s market expected for 2020, prices to increase 5%
The Brampton housing market is expected to favour sellers in 2020, with a five-per-cent increase in the average residential sale price in 2020. This lift in price is being attributed to strong consumer confidence as a result of rising prices for the better part of the past two years, and higher number of transactions.
The Brampton housing market currently sits in seller’s territory, due to limited inventory across the region. This trend is expected to continue into 2020. While relatively affordable compared to other regions in the Greater Toronto Area, the stress test has hindered many buyers from getting into the housing market. While the city’s unemployment rate is low and private investment is strong, Brampton’s infrastructure is playing catch-up to its high rate of growth. The city’s proximity to Toronto and affordability continues to make it one of the stronger real estate markets out there.
First-time and move-up buyers are expected to drive the Brampton housing market in 2020. Prices have almost climbed back to the heights reached at the beginning of 2017. As a result, more homeowners have become more confident with the rebuilding of their equity and using it to move up. In turn, this is freeing up starter homes for first-time homebuyers.
Northwest Brampton, Credit Valley and Brampton East are the hottest neighbourhoods to watch in 2020, especially due to the former two being in close proximity to GO Transit and the latter providing easy access to Highway 427.
From a national perspective, RE/MAX anticipates a leveling out of the highs and lows that characterized the Canadian housing market in 2019, particularly in Vancouver and Toronto, as we move into 2020. Healthy price increases are expected, with an estimated 3.7-per-cent increase in the average national residential sales price, according to the RE/MAX 2020 Housing Market Outlook Report.
Most individual markets surveyed across Canada experienced moderate price increases year-over-year from 2018 to 2019. However, some regions in Ontario continue to experience higher-than-normal gains, including London (+10.7 per cent), Windsor (+11 per cent), Ottawa (+11.7 per cent) and Niagara (+12.9 per cent).
“Southern Ontario is witnessing some incredibly strong price appreciation, with many regions seeing double-digit gains,” says Christopher Alexander, Executive Vice President and Regional Director, RE/MAX of Ontario-Atlantic Canada. “Thanks to the region’s resilient economy, staggering population growth and relentless development, the 2020 market looks very optimistic.”
Lydia McNutt is an award-winning editor, with more than two decades of experience specializing in Canadian real estate. At RE/MAX, Lydia is responsible for developing consumer-facing content while promoting the RE/MAX brand through housing market reports and market news, as featured on the RE/MAX Canada blog and social media channels. Lydia has been published nationally on topics ranging from real estate, architecture, decor and design, to finance, business, technology, entertainment and lifestyle. When she’s not head-down at her writing desk, Lydia is busy “momming” in Oakville, Ontario, where she lives with her husband, two kids and their chocolate lab, Betty. Email Lydia at email@example.com